UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Welterweight
VS
53%
Barberena
47%
Anjos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:20
Bryan
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18 – 12
6'0"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barberena

This is a genuine toss-up — Barberena at 53% vs Anjos at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barberena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barberena's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barberena
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Barberena
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.3
38.8
43.9
Performance Avg
47.7
42
Quality of Victory
41
76
Momentum Score
49
Barberena
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
1Clinch1
2Ground2
Barberena
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barberena
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Barberena
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
49
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Barberena
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
43%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barberena
Anjos
Striking5.4 / 3.1Volume4.5 / 5.7Grappling2.0 / 3.3Wrestling1.4 / 2.3Submission1.1 / 2.4Pressure5.3 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Barberena
Strike Zones
Anjos
Barberena
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barberena targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the body (75% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barberena
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0

Barberena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W5.5L5.2W4.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L5.0W5.5L4.9L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.9W5.5W2.9L2.6L6.5L3.8L2014-122017-042020-092022-122024-03
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Barberena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Bryan Barberena · Rafael Dos Anjos
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