UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Harris
59%
Tybura
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tybura
This is a genuine toss-up — Harris at 41% vs Tybura at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Tybura connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Harris's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Harris
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
42
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.6
42.5
51.0
Performance Avg
45.2
58
Quality of Victory
37
65
Momentum Score
58
Harris
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
6
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance4
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Harris
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Harris
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Harris
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Harris
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
36%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harris
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
HarrisTybura
Strike Zones
Harris
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTybura
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (74% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (50% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harris
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08