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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Lightweight
VS
42%
Peek
58%
Mariscal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Trevor
Trevor Peek
93
5'9"70" reachSwitch31 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Chepe
Chepe Mariscal
"Machine Gun"
187
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 57
★ Official Result
Chepe MariscalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Trevor Peek · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mariscal
Actual result
Mariscal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Peek at 42% vs Mariscal at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Peek has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PeekMariscal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Peek
Mariscal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
31+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Peek
Mariscal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
56.9
38.8
Performance Avg
51.9
43
Quality of Victory
31
26
Momentum Score
80
Peek
Mariscal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.7
Style: Volume
8.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
27
8
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance25
0Clinch8
0Ground0
Peek
Mariscal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Peek
Mariscal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Peek
Mariscal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Peek
Mariscal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Peek
Mariscal
Striking5.7 / 3.7Volume4.7 / 8.1Grappling1.2 / 1.9Wrestling0.8 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Peek
Strike Zones
Mariscal
Peek
Attacking
5HEAD8BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD3BODY3LEGS33 absorbed
Mariscal
Attacking
27HEAD3BODY3LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD8BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Peek targets the body (57% of attacks) — Mariscal absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Mariscal targets the head (82% of attacks) — Peek absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Peek
RND
Mariscal
0/0R00/0

Peek · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Kurtis Campbell
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Yanal Ashmouz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Charlie Campbell
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Mohammad Yahya
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Chepe Mariscal
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Mariscal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Pat Sabatini
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo Ramos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon Jackson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Morgan Charriere
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Jack Jenkins
KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Trevor Peek · Chepe Mariscal
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