UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Middleweight
VS
44%
Camozzi
56%
Carmont
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Chris Camozzi
24 – 13
6'2"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
FC
Francis Carmont
"Limitless"
25 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carmont

This is a genuine toss-up — Camozzi at 44% vs Carmont at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Camozzi throws more volume but Carmont connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Camozzi
Carmont
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Carmont
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
18.4
37.6
Performance Avg
46.6
31
Quality of Victory
33
63
Momentum Score
78
Camozzi
Carmont
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
1
Body
7
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance12
3Clinch6
0Ground3
Camozzi
Carmont
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Carmont
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
9/37 fights
Camozzi
Carmont
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Camozzi
Carmont
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Camozzi
Carmont
Striking2.1 / 1.3Volume6.3 / 6.7Grappling2.5 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission1.1 / 3.3Pressure3.0 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Camozzi
Strike Zones
Carmont
Camozzi
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD7BODY4LEGS21 absorbed
Carmont
Attacking
10HEAD7BODY4LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the head (45% of attacks) — Carmont absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Carmont targets the head (48% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Camozzi
RND
Carmont
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Camozzi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L6.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.5L2010-062012-062014-072016-052017-05
WinLossTrend

Carmont · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L2011-102012-112014-022014-08
WinLossTrend

Camozzi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

Carmont · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Thales LeitesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
CB DollawayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Jacare SouzaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04

News & Media

Chris Camozzi · Francis Carmont
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