METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Vancouver, Canada
27 Aug 2016
Welterweight
VS
59%
Maia
41%
Condit
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:52
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:52
def. Carlos Condit · UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 59% vs Condit at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Condit throws more volume but Maia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Condit has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaCondit
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Condit
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Condit
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
22.3
50.8
Performance Avg
47.8
40
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
20
Maia
Condit
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Maia
Condit
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Condit
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
19/46 fights
Maia
Condit
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Maia
Condit
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Condit
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
MaiaCondit
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCondit
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Condit targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Condit
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Condit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04