UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Featherweight
VS
49%
Siver
51%
Gamburyan
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gamburyan
This is a genuine toss-up — Siver at 49% vs Gamburyan at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Siver throws more volume but Gamburyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Siver's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gamburyan has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Siver
Gamburyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
67"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Siver
Gamburyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
15.1
46.1
Performance Avg
40.4
37
Quality of Victory
39
43
Momentum Score
63
Siver
Gamburyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
34%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
1
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground2
Siver
Gamburyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Siver
Gamburyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Siver
Gamburyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Siver
Gamburyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Siver
Gamburyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
SiverGamburyan
Strike Zones
Siver
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGamburyan
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Siver targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Siver
RND
Gamburyan
0/0R00/0
Siver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Gamburyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel GamburyanUFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
Gamburyan · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05