UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Belfast, United Kingdom
19 Nov 2016
Middleweight
VS
58%
Cedenblad
42%
Marshman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cedenblad
This is a genuine toss-up — Cedenblad at 58% vs Marshman at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cedenblad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Cedenblad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cedenblad's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marshman has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cedenblad
Marshman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
73"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cedenblad
Marshman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
14.2
54.2
Performance Avg
36.0
46
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
54
Cedenblad
Marshman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
25%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
26
5
Body
4
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
23Distance28
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Cedenblad
Marshman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cedenblad
Marshman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
8/33 fights
Cedenblad
Marshman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
54
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Cedenblad
Marshman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cedenblad
Marshman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
CedenbladMarshman
Strike Zones
Cedenblad
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedMarshman
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cedenblad targets the head (57% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Marshman targets the head (81% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cedenblad
RND
Marshman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cedenblad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Marshman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Cedenblad · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jack MarshmanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared HammanRating 5Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
Marshman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10