METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Welterweight
VS
33%
Elliott
67%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:49
★ Official Result
Michael OliveirawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:49
def. Oban Elliott · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Elliott has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElliottOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+78"
28
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
82.8
40.0
Performance Avg
76.0
33
Quality of Victory
60
40
Momentum Score
100
Elliott
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
10.0
6.3
Style: Volume
2.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Elliott
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Elliott
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
Elliott
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
ElliottOliveira
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (93% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Elliott · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Oliveira · Last 1
W · KO · R1
Oban ElliottKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08