UFC 72: Victory
Belfast, United Kingdom
16 Jun 2007
Welterweight
VS
92%
Davis
8%
Tan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:15
MD
Marcus Davis
"The Irish Hand Grenade"
22 – 11
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JT
Jason Tan
5 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

Davis is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Striking split: Davis throws more volume but Tan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Davis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tan has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Davis
Tan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
52
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Tan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
1.6
52.8
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Davis
Tan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Davis
Tan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Tan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Davis
Tan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Davis
Tan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Tan
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume3.0 / 0.0Grappling4.1 / 0.0Wrestling2.9 / 0.0Submission4.4 / 0.0Pressure7.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Davis
Strike Zones
Tan
Davis
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY6LEGS6 absorbed
Tan
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY6LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tan targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Tan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.8L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5L2005-112007-062008-102010-052011-01
WinLossTrend

Tan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L4.0L2007-062008-05
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4
Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06

Tan · Last 2

L · KO · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
L · KO · R1
Marcus DavisRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 72: Victory · 2007-06

News & Media

Marcus Davis · Jason Tan
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