UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Bantamweight
VS
13%
Grigoriou
87%
Anheliger
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anheliger
Anheliger is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anheliger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Striking split: Anheliger throws more volume but Grigoriou connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
64"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.2
42.9
0.0
Performance Avg
38.5
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
63
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
34
0
Body
9
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
8Distance51
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/13 fights
Chin rating based on
5/21 fights
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grigoriou
Anheliger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
GrigoriouAnheliger
Strike Zones
Grigoriou
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedAnheliger
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grigoriou targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anheliger absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Anheliger targets the head (67% of attacks) — Grigoriou absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grigoriou
RND
Anheliger
0/0R00/0
Grigoriou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Anheliger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Grigoriou · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Toshiomi KazamaRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Anheliger · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Charalampos GrigoriouRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R3
Jose JohnsonRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 6.1Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R3
Jesse StraderRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02