UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Flyweight
VS
32%
Raposo
68%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mitch
Mitch Raposo
10 – 3
5'5"64" reachSwitch27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
Andre
Andre Lima
"Mascote"
11 – 0
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak27 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lima

Lima holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Raposo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lima has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Raposo
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+67"
27
Age
27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Raposo
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.1
64.9
28.3
Performance Avg
58.4
25
Quality of Victory
31
27
Momentum Score
100
Raposo
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
6
Body
4
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
17Distance19
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Raposo
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Raposo
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Raposo
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Raposo
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Raposo
Lima
Striking0.7 / 2.0Volume8.7 / 6.0Grappling2.4 / 3.2Wrestling1.7 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure1.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Raposo
Strike Zones
Lima
Raposo
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY10LEGS21 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY10LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Raposo targets the head (65% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Raposo absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Raposo
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Raposo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0107.0L6.1L4.5W2024-062025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W2024-032024-062024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Raposo · Last 4

Upcoming
Allan Nascimento
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaRating 7
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Lima · Last 5

Upcoming
Kevin Borjas
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · R2
Igor SeverinoRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Mitch Raposo · Andre Lima
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