METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Newark, USA
1 Jun 2024
Flyweight
VS
37%
Raposo
63%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andre LimawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mitch Raposo · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
→
Actual result
Lima wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lima holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Raposo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RaposoLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Raposo
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+67"
27
Age
27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Raposo
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
63.4
35.0
Performance Avg
53.4
25
Quality of Victory
34
39
Momentum Score
100
Raposo
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
5.3
9.0
Style: Volume
4.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
6
Body
4
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
17Distance19
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Raposo
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Raposo
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Raposo
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Raposo
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Raposo
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
RaposoLima
Strike Zones
Raposo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedLima
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Raposo targets the head (65% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Raposo absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Raposo
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Raposo · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Allan NascimentoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Lima · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Namsrai BatbayarSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R3
Daniel BarezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06