UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Middleweight
VS
53%
Attonito
47%
Natal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RA
Rich Attonito
"The Raging Bull"
10 – 5
5'10"72" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
RN
Rafael Natal
"Sapo"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'0"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Attonito

This is a genuine toss-up — Attonito at 53% vs Natal at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Natal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Natal has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Attonito
Natal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+77"
48
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Attonito
Natal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
15.2
45.0
Performance Avg
40.5
35
Quality of Victory
30
63
Momentum Score
81
Attonito
Natal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Attonito
Natal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Attonito
Natal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/15 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Attonito
Natal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
81
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Attonito
Natal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
22%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Attonito
Natal
Striking4.5 / 2.2Volume6.5 / 7.3Grappling1.6 / 2.8Wrestling1.1 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure4.1 / 3.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Attonito
Strike Zones
Natal
Attonito
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Natal
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Attonito targets the head (88% of attacks) — Natal absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Natal targets the body (60% of attacks) — Attonito absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Attonito
RND
Natal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Attonito · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2010-062010-092010-122011-062011-12
WinLossTrend

Natal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.7L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.4L1.5L2.3L2010-092013-012014-052016-012017-07
WinLossTrend

Attonito · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jake HechtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
David BranchRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Rafael NatalRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
W · KO · R2
Jamie YagerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06

Natal · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Eryk AndersRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · KO · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Uriah HallRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

Rich Attonito · Rafael Natal
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