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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Welterweight
VS
55%
Robertson
45%
Alcantara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KR
Kenny Robertson
15 – 5
5'10"74" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
IA
Ildemar Alcantara
"Marajo"
21 – 11
Well-Rounded43 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Kenny RobertsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ildemar Alcantara · UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Robertson
→
Actual result
Robertson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Robertson at 55% vs Alcantara at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Robertson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RobertsonAlcantara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Robertson
Alcantara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+78"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Alcantara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
16.0
46.7
Performance Avg
41.5
48
Quality of Victory
31
69
Momentum Score
53
Robertson
Alcantara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
2
Body
4
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance7
2Clinch2
1Ground2
Robertson
Alcantara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Alcantara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/32 fights
Robertson
Alcantara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Robertson
Alcantara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Robertson
Alcantara
Striking3.4 / 1.1Volume2.9 / 7.1Grappling4.6 / 3.8Wrestling3.2 / 2.7Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure6.6 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Robertson
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Robertson
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY7LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Alcantara
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY7LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (47% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Alcantara targets the head (55% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Robertson
RND
Alcantara
0/0R00/0

Robertson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L2011-022013-062015-012016-09
WinLossTrend

Alcantara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2013-012013-102014-072015-07
WinLossTrend

Robertson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Ben SaundersRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Sultan AlievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Sub · R1
Thiago PerpetuoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Alcantara · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Richardson MoreiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Igor AraujoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

News & Media

Kenny Robertson · Ildemar Alcantara
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