METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
43%
Casey
57%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cortney CaseywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Angela Hill · UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hill
→
Actual result
Casey wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Casey at 43% vs Hill at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Casey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaseyHill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Casey
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'3"
67"+
Reach
64"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Casey
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.5
36.1
40.3
Performance Avg
36.8
41
Quality of Victory
30
73
Momentum Score
40
Casey
Hill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
2.4
4.8
Style: Volume
7.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
28
6
Body
14
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance43
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Casey
Hill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Casey
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
48
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Casey
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
40
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Casey
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Casey
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
CaseyHill
Strike Zones
Casey
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedHill
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Casey targets the head (72% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (60% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Casey
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Casey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R1
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Hill · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Iasmin LucindoDecision
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Ketlen SouzaDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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