UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
43%
Casey
57%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Cortney Casey
"Cast Iron"
10 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Angela
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
18 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hill

This is a genuine toss-up — Casey at 43% vs Hill at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Casey
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'3"
67"+
Reach
64"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Casey
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.5
36.2
40.3
Performance Avg
36.7
41
Quality of Victory
31
73
Momentum Score
40
Casey
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
28
6
Body
14
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance43
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Casey
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Casey
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
48
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Casey
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Casey
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
15%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Casey
Hill
Striking2.5 / 1.7Volume4.8 / 7.0Grappling3.9 / 2.5Wrestling2.7 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.8Pressure4.7 / 2.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Casey
Strike Zones
Hill
Casey
Attacking
28HEAD6BODY5LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD14BODY5LEGS47 absorbed
Hill
Attacking
28HEAD14BODY5LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD6BODY5LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Casey targets the head (72% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (60% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Casey
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0

Casey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.7L5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.6W5.5L5.0W5.2L6.1L4.5W5.5L2015-072016-112018-082021-032022-07
WinLossTrend

Hill · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.2L2.9L6.3L4.5W5.5L5.1W5.5L1.5L4.5W6.5L5.5W5.2W5.4W5.5L5.5L4.5W6.2L6.6L6.2L5.0W4.5W6.7L5.8W5.3W6.2L4.9W6.4L7.1L2014-122019-032021-032024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Casey · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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Decision
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L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

Hill · Last 5

Upcoming
Xiong Jingnan
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
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News & Media

Cortney Casey · Angela Hill
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