METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Kowalkiewicz
52%
Penne
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:32
★ Official Result
Jessica PennewinsSubmissionR1 · 4:32
def. Karolina Kowalkiewicz · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penne
→
Actual result
Penne wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kowalkiewicz at 48% vs Penne at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penne has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KowalkiewiczPenne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
64"
Reach
+67"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
36.1
35.6
Performance Avg
34.1
28
Quality of Victory
35
40
Momentum Score
63
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.2
Style: Pressure
3.3
8.1
Style: Volume
6.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
0
Body
3
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
4Ground8
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/23 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Penne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
KowalkiewiczPenne
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedPenne
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Penne targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Penne
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedDecision
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UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
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