UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Bantamweight
VS
72%
Lapilus
28%
Issa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Taylor
Taylor Lapilus
"Double Impact"
21 – 4
5'6"73" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 50
LI
Leandro Issa
"Brodinho"
13 – 6
Submission Hunter2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lapilus

Lapilus is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Issa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Lapilus has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lapilus
Issa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
73"+
Reach
69"
34+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lapilus
Issa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.7
19.1
48.0
Performance Avg
44.3
30
Quality of Victory
47
85
Momentum Score
59
Lapilus
Issa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance2
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Lapilus
Issa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lapilus
Issa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Lapilus
Issa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
59
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
Lapilus
Issa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lapilus
Issa
Striking3.2 / 0.8Volume8.2 / 0.8Grappling2.0 / 8.0Wrestling1.4 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure3.4 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Lapilus
Strike Zones
Issa
Lapilus
Attacking
20HEAD2BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Issa
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD2BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lapilus targets the head (91% of attacks) — Issa absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Issa targets the body (67% of attacks) — Lapilus absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lapilus
RND
Issa
0/0R00/0

Lapilus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.6W7.0L4.5W4.5W2015-042015-112023-092024-062024-09
WinLossTrend

Issa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0102.8L5.5W5.2W5.5L6.2L2014-012014-072014-122015-082016-09
WinLossTrend

Lapilus · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Leandro IssaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

Issa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Iuri AlcantaraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R3
Jumabieke TuerxunRating 5.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Sub · R2
Russell DoaneRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01

News & Media

Taylor Lapilus · Leandro Issa
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