UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Lightweight
VS
70%
Green
30%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Green
Green is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
21.2
45.9
Performance Avg
51.3
38
Quality of Victory
30
85
Momentum Score
100
Green
Magomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
1.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
20
10
Body
11
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance30
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Green
Magomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/52 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Green
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Green
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Green
Magomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
GreenMagomedov
Strike Zones
Green
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedMagomedov
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the body (40% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Magomedov targets the head (63% of attacks) — Green absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Green
RND
Magomedov
0/0R00/0
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Green · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5Submission
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W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9Decision
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L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2KO/TKO
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Paddy PimblettRating 3.2Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Magomedov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 5.2Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R3
Elias SilverioRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo DammRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
