UFC 69: Shootout
Houston, USA
7 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
50%
Davis
50%
Spratt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:57
MD
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Davis
This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 50% vs Spratt at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Davis throws more volume but Spratt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spratt has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Davis
Spratt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
52+
Age
55
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Spratt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
19.0
52.8
Performance Avg
47.7
48
Quality of Victory
51
56
Momentum Score
59
Davis
Spratt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Davis
Spratt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Spratt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
52
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/48 fights
Davis
Spratt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Davis
Spratt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Spratt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
DavisSpratt
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedSpratt
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spratt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Spratt targets the head (43% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Spratt
0/0R00/0
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Spratt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
Spratt · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Sub · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8Submission
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy JacksonRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5Submission
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04