UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Heavyweight
VS
79%
Sherman
21%
Coulter
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sherman
Sherman is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Sherman throws more volume but Coulter connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sherman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Coulter has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sherman
Coulter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sherman
Coulter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.1
8.2
38.4
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
22
Sherman
Coulter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
58%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
19
8
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
37Distance14
9Clinch7
18Ground0
Sherman
Coulter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sherman
Coulter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Sherman
Coulter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Sherman
Coulter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherman
Coulter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ShermanCoulter
Strike Zones
Sherman
Attacking
64 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedCoulter
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
64 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherman targets the head (78% of attacks) — Coulter absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Coulter targets the head (90% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherman
RND
Coulter
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Coulter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Coulter · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Hu YaozongRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Chris de la RochaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Chase ShermanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05