METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Heavyweight
VS
79%
Sherman
21%
Coulter
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:36
★ Official Result
Chase ShermanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:36
def. Rashad Coulter · UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sherman
→
Actual result
Sherman wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Sherman is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Sherman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Coulter has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShermanCoulter
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sherman
Coulter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sherman
Coulter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.1
8.2
38.4
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
22
Sherman
Coulter
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
0.8
2.5
Style: Volume
8.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
19
8
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
37Distance14
9Clinch7
18Ground0
Sherman
Coulter
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sherman
Coulter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Sherman
Coulter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Sherman
Coulter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherman
Coulter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ShermanCoulter
Strike Zones
Sherman
Attacking
64 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedCoulter
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
64 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherman targets the head (78% of attacks) — Coulter absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Coulter targets the head (90% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherman
RND
Coulter
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
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W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovSubmission
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L · Sub · R1
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Coulter · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Hu YaozongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Chris de la RochaKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Chase ShermanKO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05