UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
Rochester, USA
18 May 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
25%
Cummins
75%
Herman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:39
PC
Patrick Cummins
"Durkin"
10 – 7
6'2"76" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Herman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Cummins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cummins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cummins
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cummins
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
38.7
39.0
Performance Avg
47.4
34
Quality of Victory
44
45
Momentum Score
82
Cummins
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
11
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance8
4Clinch1
0Ground2
Cummins
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cummins
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Cummins
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
82
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cummins
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cummins
Herman
Striking4.3 / 4.1Volume6.3 / 3.5Grappling1.6 / 3.8Wrestling1.1 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 3.9Pressure3.7 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Cummins
Strike Zones
Herman
Cummins
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cummins targets the head (95% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cummins
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cummins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L5.5W3.1L1.5L5.1W4.5W5.5L1.5L1.7L2014-022015-042017-042019-05
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Cummins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Patrick Cummins · Ed Herman
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