UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
84%
Walsh
16%
Kennedy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walsh
Walsh is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Walsh has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Walsh has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Walsh
Kennedy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
37+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walsh
Kennedy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.2
2.4
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Walsh
Kennedy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
7
Body
2
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance15
2Clinch0
10Ground0
Walsh
Kennedy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Walsh
Kennedy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/32 fights
Walsh
Kennedy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Walsh
Kennedy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walsh
Kennedy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WalshKennedy
Strike Zones
Walsh
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedKennedy
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walsh targets the head (52% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Kennedy targets the head (67% of attacks) — Walsh absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walsh
RND
Kennedy
0/0R00/0
Walsh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Kennedy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Walsh · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MeunierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Steve KennedyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Kiichi KunimotoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
Kennedy · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Richard WalshRating 5.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Peter SobottaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06