★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 17 Middleweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Ultimate Fighter 17 Middleweight Tournament
VS
38%
Hall
62%
Gastelum
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gastelum
Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Hall has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Gastelum throws more volume but Hall connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gastelum has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hall
Gastelum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
79"+
Reach
71"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hall
Gastelum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
41.4
47.8
Performance Avg
47.4
45
Quality of Victory
42
45
Momentum Score
28
Hall
Gastelum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
43%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
1
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance4
1Clinch1
7Ground1
Hall
Gastelum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Gastelum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
26/32 fights
Hall
Gastelum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Hall
Gastelum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
36%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Gastelum
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HallGastelum
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGastelum
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the head (69% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Gastelum targets the head (33% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Gastelum
0/0R00/0
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gastelum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Chris WeidmanRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · KO · R4
Anderson SilvaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12