METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Miocic
47%
Arlovski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:54
★ Official Result
Stipe MiocicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:54
def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miocic
→
Actual result
Miocic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miocic at 53% vs Arlovski at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miocic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MiocicArlovski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miocic
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
77"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
49.1
64.9
Performance Avg
50.5
59
Quality of Victory
47
78
Momentum Score
94
Miocic
Arlovski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
5.0
4.3
Style: Volume
5.3
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance6
1Clinch1
5Ground0
Miocic
Arlovski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miocic
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Miocic
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
94
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Miocic
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
48%
9
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miocic
Arlovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
MiocicArlovski
Strike Zones
Miocic
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedArlovski
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the head (57% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miocic
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierDecision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierKO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierKO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04