UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 Oct 2025
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Figueiredo
48%
Jackson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
This is a genuine toss-up — Figueiredo at 52% vs Jackson at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jackson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Figueiredo's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Figueiredo
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Figueiredo
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.4
52.4
57.9
Performance Avg
51.6
50
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
48
Figueiredo
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
2
Body
2
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Figueiredo
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Figueiredo
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Figueiredo
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
48
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Figueiredo
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
44%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Figueiredo
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
FigueiredoJackson
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedJackson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Figueiredo targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (38% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Figueiredo
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
Jackson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Rani YahyaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

