★ Championship Bout · 4 Tournament
UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors
Tulsa, USA
16 Dec 1994
4 Tournament
VS
56%
Gracie
44%
Severn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 15:49
RG
Royce Gracie
15 – 2
6'1"Southpaw59 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 28
DS
Dan Severn
"The Beast"
101 – 19
Well-Rounded2-fight slide67 yrsSouthpaw6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gracie

This is a genuine toss-up — Gracie at 56% vs Severn at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Severn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Severn has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gracie
Severn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
59+
Age
67
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Gracie
Severn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
22.1
74.9
Performance Avg
66.1
66
Quality of Victory
64
100
Momentum Score
65
Gracie
Severn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Gracie
Severn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
7.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
4.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gracie
Severn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/120 fights
Gracie
Severn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R2
W · Dec · R1
Gracie
Severn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gracie
Severn
Striking3.0 / 1.4Volume1.8 / 4.0Grappling7.0 / 5.2Wrestling4.9 / 3.7Submission8.8 / 5.6Pressure9.7 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
7.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
8.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
9.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Gracie
Strike Zones
Severn
Gracie
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Severn
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Severn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gracie
RND
Severn
0/0R00/0

Gracie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1994-031994-031994-122006-05
WinLossTrend

Severn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W4.2W4.5W1.5L1.5L1994-121995-041995-122000-09
WinLossTrend

Gracie · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
Upcoming
Ken Shamrock
UFC 5: The Return of the Beast · 1995-04
W · Sub · R1
Dan SevernRating 5
Submission
UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors · 1994-12
W · Sub · R1
Keith HackneyRating 5
Submission
UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors · 1994-12
W · Sub · R1
Ron van CliefRating 5
Submission
UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors · 1994-12

Severn · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Pedro RizzoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Mark ColemanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 12: Judgement Day · 1997-02
W · Dec · R3
Ken ShamrockRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 9: Motor City Madness · 1996-05
W · Dec · R2
Oleg TaktarovRating 4.2
Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
W · Dec · R1
David AbbottRating 4
Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12

News & Media

Royce Gracie · Dan Severn
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