UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Featherweight
VS
87%
Tukhugov
13%
Nover
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ZT
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
20 – 6
5'8"68" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
PN
Phillipe Nover
"The Filipino Assassin"
11 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tukhugov

Tukhugov is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tukhugov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Tukhugov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nover has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tukhugov
Nover
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+72"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tukhugov
Nover
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.4
6.8
48.4
Performance Avg
20.7
39
Quality of Victory
25
92
Momentum Score
0
Tukhugov
Nover
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Tukhugov
Nover
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tukhugov
Nover
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Tukhugov
Nover
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Tukhugov
Nover
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tukhugov
Nover
Striking5.3 / 0.3Volume6.0 / 8.3Grappling1.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Tukhugov
Strike Zones
Nover
Tukhugov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD5BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Nover
Attacking
2HEAD5BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tukhugov targets the head (60% of attacks) — Nover absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Nover targets the body (63% of attacks) — Tukhugov absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tukhugov
RND
Nover
0/0R00/0

Tukhugov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.7W5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L4.6W6.3L2014-022015-122020-022021-102023-02
WinLossTrend

Nover · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L1.5L5.5L4.5W6.0L5.5L5.6L2008-122010-022015-122017-02
WinLossTrend

Tukhugov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin AguilarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
Upcoming
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

Nover · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Renan BaraoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Yui Chul NamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Rob EmersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02

News & Media

Zubaira Tukhugov · Phillipe Nover
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