Valter Walker vs Louie Sutherland — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

25 Oct 2025

Heavyweight

76%

Walker

24%

Sutherland

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 1:24

Valter Walker

"The Clean Monster"

15 – 1

6'6"78" reachOrthodox28 yrs5-fight win streakSubmission Hunter

CFR 75

Louie Sutherland

"Vanilla Gorilla"

11 – 5

Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"

CFR 24

★ Official Result

Valter WalkerwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:24

def. Louie Sutherland · UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Walker

→

Actual result

Walker wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Walker is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Walker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Risk flags

Sutherland has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

WalkerSutherland

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Walker

Sutherland

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'6"+

Height

6'3"

78"+

Reach

76"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Walker

Sutherland

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

74.6

23.9

65.7

Performance Avg

25.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Walker

Sutherland

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

0.5

/ 10

9.5

Style: Pressure

0.8

1.7

Style: Volume

8.5

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

5Distance3

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Walker

Sutherland

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.0

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

5.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

10.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Walker

Sutherland

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/16 fights

Chin rating based on

4/16 fights

Walker

Sutherland

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

5-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R1

Walker

Sutherland

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Walker

Sutherland

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.5

8.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

5.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

10.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

9.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.8

1.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.5

Walker

Strike Zones

Sutherland

Walker

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Sutherland

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Walker targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Sutherland absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Sutherland targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Walker

RND

Sutherland

0/0R00/0

Walker · Last 5

W · Sub · R1

Thomas Petersen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07

W · Sub · R1

Louie Sutherland

Submission

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

W · Sub · R1

Kennedy Nzechukwu

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07

W · Sub · R1

Don'Tale Mayes

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

W · Sub · R1

Junior Tafa

Submission

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

Sutherland · Last 4

L · Sub · R1

Jose Montanha

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Tai Tuivasa

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05

L · KO · R1

Brando Pericic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

L · Sub · R1

Valter Walker

Submission

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

News & Media

Valter Walker · Louie Sutherland

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