UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
17 Apr 2021
Heavyweight
VS
62%
Arlovski
38%
Sherman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Chase
Chase Sherman
"The Vanilla Gorilla"
16 – 12
Striker2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Sherman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sherman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
30.1
50.5
Performance Avg
38.4
47
Quality of Victory
46
94
Momentum Score
46
Arlovski
Sherman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
21
12
Body
6
11
Leg
7
RangeRange
46Distance33
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Arlovski
Sherman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Arlovski
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
46
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Arlovski
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
75%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Sherman
Striking5.0 / 8.0Volume5.3 / 2.5Grappling1.9 / 0.6Wrestling1.4 / 0.4Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Sherman
Arlovski
Attacking
23HEAD12BODY11LEGS46 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD6BODY7LEGS34 absorbed
Sherman
Attacking
21HEAD6BODY7LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD12BODY11LEGS46 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (62% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Sherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.5L4.2L5.2W6.2L5.5L1.5L2.3L5.5W7.0L6.0L2016-082017-112021-042022-072023-05
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

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Decision
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KO/TKO
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Sherman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6
Decision
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Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
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W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3
Submission
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Submission
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News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Chase Sherman
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