★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2018
Flyweight
VS
28%
Johnson
72%
Cejudo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DJ
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
27 – 3
5'3"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Henry
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
16 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cejudo

Cejudo is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Cejudo throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cejudo has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Cejudo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Cejudo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
64.7
69.9
Performance Avg
57.5
58
Quality of Victory
54
85
Momentum Score
97
Johnson
Cejudo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
3
Body
7
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance9
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Johnson
Cejudo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Cejudo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Johnson
Cejudo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
97
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Johnson
Cejudo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Cejudo
Striking3.1 / 5.3Volume6.0 / 6.0Grappling4.0 / 1.4Wrestling2.8 / 1.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Johnson
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Johnson
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD7BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Cejudo
Attacking
9HEAD7BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Cejudo targets the head (53% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Cejudo
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W7.0W4.5W6.5W4.6W5.2W5.5W7.0L2011-022013-012015-042017-102018-08
WinLossTrend

Cejudo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.1W6.5L6.8L6.1L7.0L2014-122016-042018-082023-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04

Cejudo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

News & Media

Demetrious Johnson · Henry Cejudo
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