METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Aug 2018
Flyweight
VS
28%
Johnson
72%
Cejudo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Henry CejudowinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Demetrious Johnson · UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cejudo
→
Actual result
Cejudo wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Cejudo is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cejudo has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonCejudo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Cejudo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"+
Reach
64"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Cejudo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
65.3
69.9
Performance Avg
58.4
58
Quality of Victory
56
85
Momentum Score
97
Johnson
Cejudo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
4.7
6.0
Style: Volume
6.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
9
3
Body
7
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance9
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Johnson
Cejudo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Cejudo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Johnson
Cejudo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
97
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Johnson
Cejudo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Cejudo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
JohnsonCejudo
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedCejudo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Cejudo targets the head (53% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Cejudo
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
Cejudo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05