METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Featherweight
VS
44%
Caceres
56%
Hooper
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex CacereswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chase Hooper · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hooper
→
Actual result
Caceres wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Caceres at 44% vs Hooper at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hooper has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Hooper throws more volume but Caceres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooper has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaceresHooper
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Caceres
Hooper
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Caceres
Hooper
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
50.9
42.2
Performance Avg
51.8
34
Quality of Victory
45
76
Momentum Score
51
Caceres
Hooper
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
20
6
Body
2
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance21
1Clinch1
11Ground0
Caceres
Hooper
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Hooper
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/21 fights
Caceres
Hooper
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Caceres
Hooper
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
4
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Hooper
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
CaceresHooper
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedHooper
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Hooper targets the head (91% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Hooper
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hooper · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Hooper · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05