METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Anaheim, USA
17 Aug 2019
Welterweight
VS
35%
Pettis
65%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Anthony Pettis · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Pettis has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Diaz throws more volume but Pettis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PettisDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pettis
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pettis
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
35.3
52.6
Performance Avg
53.4
51
Quality of Victory
50
72
Momentum Score
100
Pettis
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
34
1
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance13
5Clinch12
3Ground13
Pettis
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.6
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pettis
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Pettis
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Pettis
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
75%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
10
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pettis
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.3
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
PettisDiaz
Strike Zones
Pettis
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (89% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (89% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pettis
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pettis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08