METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
52%
Brown
48%
McGee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:09
def. Court McGee · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 52% vs McGee at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGee has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownMcGee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
McGee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
McGee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
38.7
54.0
Performance Avg
40.1
52
Quality of Victory
36
78
Momentum Score
50
Brown
McGee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.8
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
3.3
2.1
Style: Volume
6.7
13 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
3
Body
2
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance6
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Brown
McGee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
McGee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
25/37 fights
Brown
McGee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
50
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Brown
McGee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
27%
13
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
McGee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
BrownMcGee
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMcGee
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the legs (55% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯McGee targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
McGee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
McGee · Last 5
Upcoming
Eric NolanUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05