UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
60%
Robertson
40%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
Robertson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Robertson's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
63"
Reach
+68"
31+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
38.9
55.0
Performance Avg
42.2
45
Quality of Victory
32
74
Momentum Score
81
Robertson
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Robertson
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Robertson
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
81
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Robertson
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Robertson
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
RobertsonSantos
Strike Zones
Robertson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSantos
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (78% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Robertson
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
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W · KO · R2
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W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
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W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R1
Joanne WoodRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12