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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Welterweight
VS
45%
Lombard
55%
Burkman
Win Probability
HL
Hector Lombard
3410
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw48 yrs6-fight slideStriker
CFR 12
JB
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
2816
Well-Rounded5-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Burkman

This is a genuine toss-up — Lombard at 45% vs Burkman at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lombard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Lombard's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

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Lombard
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
48
Age
+46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lombard
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
14.3
39.9
Performance Avg
34.7
48
Quality of Victory
36
0
Momentum Score
80
Lombard
Burkman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
7.2
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
3.3
3.2
Style: Volume
6.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
0
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance6
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Lombard
Burkman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lombard
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
12/44 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Lombard
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
80
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lombard
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lombard
Burkman
Striking7.2 / 2.3Volume3.2 / 6.0Grappling0.8 / 2.9Wrestling0.6 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure5.5 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Lombard
Strike Zones
Burkman
Lombard
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Burkman
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lombard targets the head (76% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lombard
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0

Lombard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thales Leites
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB Dollaway
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny Hendricks
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan Henderson
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

Burkman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alex Morono
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew Dober
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel Prazeres
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak Ottow
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul Felder
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

News & Media

Hector Lombard · Joshua Burkman
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