UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
73%
Price
27%
Vick
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Price
Price is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Price has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Price's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vick has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Price
Vick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
76"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Price
Vick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
17.7
46.0
Performance Avg
50.2
49
Quality of Victory
41
65
Momentum Score
71
Price
Vick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
9Ground4
Price
Vick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Price
Vick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
Price
Vick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
71
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Price
Vick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Price
Vick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PriceVick
Strike Zones
Price
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedVick
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the head (91% of attacks) — Vick absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Vick targets the head (67% of attacks) — Price absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Price
RND
Vick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Price · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Vick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Vick · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Justin GaethjeRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02