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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 125: Resolution
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jan 2011
Lightweight
VS
82%
Guida
18%
Gomi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 Β· 4:27
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
38 – 22
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
TG
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
35 – 14
Well-Rounded5-fight slide47 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 10
β˜… Official Result
Clay GuidawinsSubmissionR2 Β· 4:27
def. Takanori Gomi Β· UFC 125: Resolution

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
β†’
Actual result
Guida wins
Submission Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

Guida is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gomi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gomi has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GuidaGomi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Guida
Gomi
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guida
Gomi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
9.8
40.7
Performance Avg
37.1
35
Quality of Victory
41
78
Momentum Score
0
Guida
Gomi
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Guida
Gomi
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guida
Gomi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
8
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
13/49 fights
Guida
Gomi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
5-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
Guida
Gomi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guida
Gomi
Striking2.1 / 5.6Volume5.9 / 4.6Grappling3.7 / 1.2Wrestling2.6 / 0.8Submission2.8 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Guida
Strike Zones
Gomi
Guida
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Gomi
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Gomi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gomi targets the head (78% of attacks) β€” Guida absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Guida
RND
Gomi
0/0R00/0

Guida Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.4L4.5W5.0W2.9L4.5W1.9L6.2L4.6W5.7L5.3W2.4L4.5W6.3L6.1L2.3L2006-102010-032015-042021-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Gomi Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0104.0L5.0W3.2L1.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.9L1.5L1.5L2010-032012-022014-092017-09
WinLossTrend

Guida Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura Β· 2024-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Β· 2023-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Β· 2023-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Β· 2022-12
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade Β· 2022-04

Gomi Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami Β· 2017-09
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Jon TuckRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia Β· 2017-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes Β· 2016-07
L Β· KO Β· R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II Β· 2015-07
L Β· KO Β· R1
Myles JuryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson Β· 2014-09

News & Media

Clay Guida Β· Takanori Gomi
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