UFC 125: Resolution
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jan 2011
Lightweight
VS
82%
Guida
18%
Gomi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:27
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
3822
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
TG
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
3514
Well-Rounded5-fight slide47 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guida

Guida is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gomi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gomi has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Guida
Gomi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guida
Gomi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
9.8
40.7
Performance Avg
37.1
35
Quality of Victory
41
78
Momentum Score
0
Guida
Gomi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Guida
Gomi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guida
Gomi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
8
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
13/49 fights
Guida
Gomi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Guida
Gomi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guida
Gomi
Striking2.1 / 5.6Volume5.9 / 4.6Grappling3.7 / 1.2Wrestling2.6 / 0.8Submission2.8 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Guida
Strike Zones
Gomi
Guida
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Gomi
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gomi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gomi targets the head (78% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guida
RND
Gomi
0/0R00/0

Guida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.4L4.5W5.0W2.9L4.5W1.9L6.2L4.6W5.7L5.3W2.4L4.5W6.3L6.1L2.3L2006-102010-032015-042021-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Gomi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0104.0L5.0W3.2L1.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.9L1.5L1.5L2010-032012-022014-092017-09
WinLossTrend

Guida · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Gomi · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Jon TuckRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · KO · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09

News & Media

Clay Guida · Takanori Gomi
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