UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
56%
Silva
44%
Moroz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 56% vs Moroz at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Moroz throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Silva
Moroz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Moroz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
46.9
50.4
Performance Avg
40.3
42
Quality of Victory
34
77
Momentum Score
90
Silva
Moroz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
8
7
Body
7
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance10
11Clinch6
1Ground0
Silva
Moroz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Moroz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Silva
Moroz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Moroz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Moroz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SilvaMoroz
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMoroz
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Moroz absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Moroz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Moroz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Moroz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Moroz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

