UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
96%
Guida
4%
Schiavo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:15
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
38 – 22
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
SS
Samy Schiavo
10 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guida

Guida is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Guida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Guida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schiavo has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Guida
Schiavo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
44+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guida
Schiavo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
1.8
40.7
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Guida
Schiavo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.3
36%
Strike Accuracy
15%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Guida
Schiavo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guida
Schiavo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
8
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Guida
Schiavo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Guida
Schiavo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guida
Schiavo
Striking2.1 / 0.0Volume5.9 / 0.0Grappling3.7 / 0.0Wrestling2.6 / 0.0Submission2.8 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Guida
Strike Zones
Schiavo
Guida
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Schiavo
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the head (91% of attacks) — Schiavo absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Schiavo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guida
RND
Schiavo
0/0R00/0

Guida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.4L4.5W5.0W2.9L4.5W1.9L6.2L4.6W5.7L5.3W2.4L4.5W6.3L6.1L2.3L2006-102010-032015-042021-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Schiavo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.0
0102.0L4.0L2008-042008-10
WinLossTrend

Guida · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Schiavo · Last 2

L · Sub · R3
Per EklundRating 4
Submission
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04

News & Media

Clay Guida · Samy Schiavo
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