UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Featherweight
VS
38%
Kattar
62%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garcia
Garcia holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Kattar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Garcia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kattar's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kattar
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kattar
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
72.5
44.4
Performance Avg
65.0
43
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
95
Kattar
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
22
1
Body
8
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kattar
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kattar
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Kattar
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
95
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Kattar
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
88%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kattar
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
KattarGarcia
Strike Zones
Kattar
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kattar targets the head (92% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (71% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kattar
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kattar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Garcia · Last 5
Upcoming
Diego LopesUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07