METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Featherweight
VS
39%
Kattar
61%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Steve GarciawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Calvin Kattar · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Garcia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Garcia holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Kattar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Kattar's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garcia has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KattarGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kattar
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kattar
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
69.1
44.4
Performance Avg
62.1
43
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
95
Kattar
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
8.3
4.4
Style: Volume
2.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
22
1
Body
8
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kattar
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kattar
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Kattar
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
95
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Kattar
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
88%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kattar
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
KattarGarcia
Strike Zones
Kattar
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kattar targets the head (92% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (71% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kattar
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Garcia · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07