METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Dvalishvili
48%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Merab DvalishviliwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Umar Nurmagomedov · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dvalishvili
→
Actual result
Dvalishvili wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dvalishvili at 52% vs Nurmagomedov at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DvalishviliNurmagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
35
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
56.7
53.2
Performance Avg
53.6
34
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
75
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
8.5
Style: Volume
6.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
2
Body
5
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance18
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dvalishvili
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
DvalishviliNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Dvalishvili
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (71% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dvalishvili
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0
Dvalishvili · Last 5
Upcoming
Petr YanUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleySubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08