UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Featherweight
VS
79%
Volkanovski
21%
Kennedy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:57
CFR 64
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Volkanovski
Volkanovski is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Volkanovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
16.8
59.8
Performance Avg
45.0
44
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
72
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.9
61%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
4
9
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
1Clinch0
40Ground4
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkanovski
Kennedy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
VolkanovskiKennedy
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedKennedy
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (77% of attacks) — Kennedy absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Kennedy targets the head (80% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkanovski
RND
Kennedy
0/0R00/0
Volkanovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kennedy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Volkanovski · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Kennedy · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyle BochniakRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Rony JasonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Dec · R3
Alex RicciRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08