UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Columbus, USA
26 Mar 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Brown
50%
Barberena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 50% vs Barberena at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Barberena throws more volume but Brown connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barberena has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
45
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Brown
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
43.3
54.0
Performance Avg
43.9
52
Quality of Victory
42
78
Momentum Score
76
Brown
Barberena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.7
60%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
13 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
43
14
Body
8
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance36
7Clinch17
3Ground0
Brown
Barberena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Brown
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
76
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Brown
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
56%
13
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Barberena
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
BrownBarberena
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedBarberena
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (54% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (81% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Barberena · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Barberena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9Submission
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W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5KO/TKO
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