UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
Los Angeles, USA
28 Feb 2015
Heavyweight
VS
98%
Lewis
2%
Potts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lewis
Lewis is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Lewis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Potts has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lewis
Potts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
75"
41+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Potts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
1.0
57.5
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Lewis
Potts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
27%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
16 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch0
33Ground0
Lewis
Potts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Potts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Lewis
Potts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Lewis
Potts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
16
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Potts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LewisPotts
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedPotts
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (94% of attacks) — Potts absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Potts
0/0R00/0
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Potts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Potts · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R2
Anthony HamiltonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05