METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Lightweight
VS
65%
Miller
35%
Holtzman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Scott HoltzmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Miller · UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Holtzman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Miller holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Holtzman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holtzman has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerHoltzman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Holtzman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
69"
43
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Holtzman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
23.1
51.5
Performance Avg
40.6
45
Quality of Victory
32
28
Momentum Score
53
Miller
Holtzman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
3.6
3.5
Style: Volume
5.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
36
7
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance34
8Clinch6
0Ground0
Miller
Holtzman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
14
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Holtzman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Miller
Holtzman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Miller
Holtzman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Holtzman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
MillerHoltzman
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedHoltzman
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (62% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Holtzman targets the head (90% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Holtzman
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
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W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
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W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezSubmission
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Holtzman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Beneil DariushKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R2
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