UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Lightweight
VS
58%
Miller
42%
Holtzman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
SH
Scott Holtzman
"Hot Sauce"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 58% vs Holtzman at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Holtzman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holtzman has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Holtzman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Holtzman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
31.5
51.5
Performance Avg
40.6
45
Quality of Victory
32
28
Momentum Score
53
Miller
Holtzman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
36
7
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance34
8Clinch6
0Ground0
Miller
Holtzman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Holtzman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Miller
Holtzman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Miller
Holtzman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Holtzman
Striking3.4 / 2.5Volume3.5 / 5.7Grappling4.7 / 2.5Wrestling3.3 / 1.8Submission5.0 / 1.4Pressure6.8 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Miller
Strike Zones
Holtzman
Miller
Attacking
16HEAD7BODY3LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD3BODY1LEGS40 absorbed
Holtzman
Attacking
36HEAD3BODY1LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD7BODY3LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (62% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Holtzman targets the head (90% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Holtzman
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Holtzman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W6.7L4.5W5.6L4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.2W4.9W2.5L3.8L6.0L2015-082017-042019-082022-12
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Holtzman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R2
Dong Hyun MaRating 4.2
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News & Media

Jim Miller · Scott Holtzman
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