UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Lightweight
VS
41%
Miller
59%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:15
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Charles
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37 – 11
Pressure Fighter2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 41% vs Oliveira at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
63.3
51.5
Performance Avg
58.6
45
Quality of Victory
51
28
Momentum Score
100
Miller
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Miller
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Miller
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
84%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
14
Submission Wins
17
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Oliveira
Striking3.4 / 3.0Volume3.5 / 2.7Grappling4.7 / 5.8Wrestling3.3 / 4.1Submission5.0 / 6.8Pressure6.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Miller
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Miller
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5W1.9L1.5L5.0W5.2W2.0L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.0W5.5W2.6L5.0W4.0L2.8L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.4W5.4W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.3W5.0W5.9W6.6W6.6W4.1L6.0W7.1L5.3W3.9L6.2W5.6W2010-082014-062018-062021-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Jim Miller · Charles Oliveira
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