UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi
Stockholm, Sweden
6 Apr 2013
Featherweight
VS
52%
Brandao
48%
Garza
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brandao
This is a genuine toss-up — Brandao at 52% vs Garza at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Brandao has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brandao's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brandao
Garza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
64"
Reach
+73"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brandao
Garza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
18.2
53.4
Performance Avg
47.8
49
Quality of Victory
46
79
Momentum Score
53
Brandao
Garza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
2
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Brandao
Garza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brandao
Garza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Brandao
Garza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
53
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Brandao
Garza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brandao
Garza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
BrandaoGarza
Strike Zones
Brandao
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGarza
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brandao targets the head (44% of attacks) — Garza absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Garza targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brandao
RND
Garza
0/0R00/0
Brandao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Garza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Brandao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
Garza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Mark HominickRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 4.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04