UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens
San Antonio, USA
28 Jun 2014
Flyweight
VS
89%
Borg
11%
Howell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borg
Borg is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Borg has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Borg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Borg
Howell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
63"
Reach
32+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Borg
Howell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
2.4
42.5
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
89
Momentum Score
0
Borg
Howell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.5
56%
Strike Accuracy
29%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Borg
Howell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borg
Howell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Borg
Howell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Borg
Howell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borg
Howell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BorgHowell
Strike Zones
Borg
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHowell
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borg targets the head (50% of attacks) — Howell absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borg
RND
Howell
0/0R00/0
Borg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Howell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Borg · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Howell · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Sub · R1
Ray BorgRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06