METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Flyweight
VS
53%
Mokaev
47%
Filho
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:32
★ Official Result
Muhammad MokaevwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:32
def. Jafel Filho · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mokaev
→
Actual result
Mokaev wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mokaev at 53% vs Filho at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Filho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MokaevFilho
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mokaev
Filho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
68"
26+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mokaev
Filho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
57.0
62.6
Performance Avg
52.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
46
Mokaev
Filho
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.4
Style: Volume
1.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mokaev
Filho
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mokaev
Filho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Mokaev
Filho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Mokaev
Filho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mokaev
Filho
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mokaev
RND
Filho
0/0R00/0
Mokaev · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Manel KapeDecision
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Tim ElliottSubmission
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W · Sub · R3
Jafel FilhoSubmission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Sub · R3
Malcolm GordonSubmission
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Filho · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenDecision
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