UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Barao
52%
Ewell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RB
Renan Barao
"The Baron"
34 – 9
5'6"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AE
Andre Ewell
"Mr. Highlight"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'8"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ewell

This is a genuine toss-up — Barao at 48% vs Ewell at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Ewell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barao's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ewell has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barao
Ewell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barao
Ewell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
16.9
59.4
Performance Avg
32.8
64
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
35
Barao
Ewell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
27
4
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance29
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Barao
Ewell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barao
Ewell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/43 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Barao
Ewell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Barao
Ewell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barao
Ewell
Striking3.3 / 0.9Volume4.6 / 8.9Grappling3.7 / 2.4Wrestling2.6 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Barao
Strike Zones
Ewell
Barao
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD2BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Ewell
Attacking
27HEAD2BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barao targets the head (53% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Ewell targets the head (93% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barao
RND
Ewell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.1W5.0W4.1L5.5W3.5L6.0L4.5W6.5L5.8L5.5L2.8L5.7L2011-052013-092016-052019-022019-11
WinLossTrend

Ewell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.8L4.5W4.8L5.0W4.5W6.0L3.5L6.3L2018-092019-102021-022021-12
WinLossTrend

Barao · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07

Ewell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02

News & Media

Renan Barao · Andre Ewell
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