UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2025
Catch Weight
VS
63%
Nascimento
37%
Durden
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:13
Allan
Allan Nascimento
"Puro Osso"
22 – 6
5'8"69" reachOrthodox34 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Cody
Cody Durden
"Custom Made"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded35 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'7"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nascimento

Nascimento holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Durden has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Durden has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Durden has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nascimento
Durden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nascimento
Durden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.4
37.8
55.0
Performance Avg
38.8
38
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
54
Nascimento
Durden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
4
Body
0
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nascimento
Durden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nascimento
Durden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Nascimento
Durden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Nascimento
Durden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nascimento
Durden
Striking1.6 / 2.4Volume5.6 / 6.7Grappling5.2 / 2.9Wrestling3.6 / 2.0Submission5.0 / 1.4Pressure5.9 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Nascimento
Strike Zones
Durden
Nascimento
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY10LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD0BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Durden
Attacking
19HEAD0BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY10LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nascimento targets the head (46% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Durden targets the head (90% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nascimento
RND
Durden
0/0R00/0

Nascimento · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.6L5.2W5.0W5.6W5.4W2021-102022-052023-012025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Durden · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.0L5.3W2.9L5.0W4.5W5.4W5.2W3.8L3.6L5.4W7.1L3.7L4.3L6.6L5.6W2020-122022-102024-072025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Nascimento · Last 5

Upcoming
Mitch Raposo
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Carlos HernandezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

Durden · Last 5

Upcoming
Ode Osbourne
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

News & Media

Allan Nascimento · Cody Durden
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