METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2025
Catch Weight
VS
63%
Nascimento
37%
Durden
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:13
★ Official Result
Allan NascimentowinsSubmissionR2 · 3:13
def. Cody Durden · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nascimento
→
Actual result
Nascimento wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Nascimento holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Durden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Durden has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NascimentoDurden
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nascimento
Durden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nascimento
Durden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
36.8
49.7
Performance Avg
37.6
38
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
54
Nascimento
Durden
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
3.3
5.3
Style: Volume
6.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
4
Body
0
10
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nascimento
Durden
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nascimento
Durden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Nascimento
Durden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
54
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Nascimento
Durden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nascimento
Durden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
NascimentoDurden
Strike Zones
Nascimento
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedDurden
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nascimento targets the head (46% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Durden targets the head (90% of attacks) — Nascimento absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nascimento
RND
Durden
0/0R00/0
Nascimento · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Carlos HernandezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Durden · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alessandro CostaSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Jafel FilhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06